Friday Update: Winter Just Doesn't Want to Quit

Good evening and Happy Easter weekend! It may be spring and it may be Easter, but winter just does not want to quit this year. The mild temperatures today will give way to a chill in the air by this weekend and then things start to get very interesting.

Over the next 10 days or so the area will be hit with waves of cold Canadian air as it gets released from central Canada. As this occurs there is the chance for snow in many areas starting with Monday morning. As we then approach the end of next week as crazy as it sounds, there could be the threat for an even bigger storm. Of course given its spring you can seek some comfort that snow is fairly rare but when the pattern fits, you need to keep an eye out.

It all starts with the colder than normal air currently pooled in Canada...

The purple shows below normal temperatures and provides a source region for cold intrusions into the eastern United States.

As we get to the end of the weekend some of this cold starts to move in...

You will notice a chill in the air arrive and on its approach a wave a low pressure could develop Monday morning causing snow...

The pattern certainty supports this but not to worry, the impacts shouldn't be too bad if this happens. Maybe some slick roads in the morning and all melted by the afternoon. 1-4 inches possible with this. I will comment more this weekend.

As we then move on towards the end of next week the next big and possibly more impressive shot of cold air arrives....

I would look to interior New England at the higher elevation to potentially see snow as this cold front moves in Wednesday...

We now enter the period of concern. In the wake of this front moving through there is a chance the cold air becomes locked in ahead of the next approaching storm system...

Looking above you are seeing the upper air setup as we head into next weekend. Few things to notice here:

• Cold air is established and potentially locked in by block and vortex near eastern Canada
• We have two sources of energy one diving through the northern plains and the other coming potentially from the south (two red X's)
• Potential aid in this coming together due to a ridge flexing on the west coast

We do not know exactly how this will play but this is as good as a set up as you will ever see to produce a winter event in April come next weekend.

Right now the models are flirting with the idea...

GFS...

European...

Lets see what happens the potential is there.