WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE
Thursday: The Aftermath
Well that was interesting yesterday. We did not see the widespread 8 to 16 inch totals as my final forecast had but this storm sure didn't want to quit last night. It was still snowing here in Morristown at 3am! We ended up with 6 or 7 inches here which was low compared to others.
Looking at all the snow reports below (click to enlarge), my 6 to 12 would have been more appropriate with local amounts over a foot...
Regardless, this storm was no spring chicken. It just did not live up to the hype of my final update Tuesday night. I don't want to pull a trick and cherry pick a few high totals and act like I was on point.
I appreachiate all the nice comments and all the folks who enjoy following. This is just a hobby of mine but the blog and interaction with followers makes it much more fun.
Winter is now on its last leg but we are not in the clear until April this year.
Stay tuned.
Hey Willy, 4 coastal storms in March, that was quite a memorable end to what was otherwise a fairly dull (if temporarily cold) winter! That big stratosphere temp spike over the Arctic back in late Feb really paid dividends! Along with the easterly QBO, which possibly messed with the NAO, thus allowing those nor'easters to take their sweet time past the 40/70 point (off Long Island). And just for giggles, I see that the GFS is currently showing snow showers over the area on April 1 (Catholic Easter Sunday -- and April Fools Day)!
ReplyDeleteI got out the ruler this AM and went to my standard flat field / low wind measuring area. So, looks like 7 inches in Montclair. Not far from the 8-9 range that the RGEM model stayed within, unlike the NAM which was all over the place, 14 inches one run, 7 inches the next. GFS didn't do too bad either.
Perhaps we are in for a few calm months now (too calm sometimes -- the thunderstorms where I live have been fizzles for the past decade or two, they seemed stronger back in the 60's and 70's -- but that might just be my memory going bad in old age). Then comes late summer, it's gonna be interesting to see if the La Nina holds up in the Pacific and then causes an active Atlantic basin season. I read that the ENSO forecasters are way up in the air as to what the El Nino / La Nina situation will be around August.
Anyway, thanks once again for helping me and a whole lot of other people to get thru what was a rather wacky winter season. Information is very much needed these days to survive, and you are always very well informed about the weather, and willing to share it !! Jim G
I took another look at the 06 GFS long-range for April 1 . . . actually, those snow showers look like they're part of another nor'easter . . . but the 12Z update shows it staying inland and thus all rain. Way too soon, but another coastal storm is not impossible!
DeleteHi Willy,
ReplyDeleteJust want to thank you for all that you do. I think you do a great job keeping us all informed... and with such enthusiasm!
Missed your live updates yesterday, but wishing you all the best for a quick recovery.
Thanks again, Dawn