Good morning. Our winter storm is approaching. Overall this will be a minor icing event for areas like NE PA and NNJ and a light to moderate snowstorm over New England.
Ice and some snow are approaching the area now as of 8am...
By around Noon, the Snow and Ice approaches NJ..
Up to an inch max in NW NJ and NE PA before it changes to Ice by mid afternoon...
By later this afternoon its all snow in most of New England with ice to the south. I expect a general 2-3" with higher amounts in the mountains...
Now back to NW NJ and NE PA for a second. The concern is even when the snow changes over to sleet and rain, it will still be below freezing at the surface seen below...
This is the concern for some light icing in areas like Morris, Sussex, Warren counties in NJ due to this. Blue is below freezing. I would stay off roads in those areas today.
Following this storm things get bitterly cold this weekend as a piece of the tropospheric polar vortex moves in...
Here are temperatures Saturday morning, grey is subzero..
We then need to watch for a big approaching winter storm on Sunday and Monday. My confidence is very low trying to predict this right now, but this one may be too big to ignore. Someone either in northern Mid Atlantic or New England is going to get hit hard with this. If this year had not been so frustrating so far, I would be very bullish on this storm threat, as it fits the pattern perfectly...
This kind of reminds me of one of the big storms we had in March of 2018. Stay tuned. I will be commenting more as this evolves. Could this be the storm that finally causes widespread winter weather? Hard for me to count on but we will see.
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