My twitter feed @weatherwilly to the right of this page will have frequent updates throughout the storm along with blog updates. Stay tuned!
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A Historic East Coast Storm is approaching the area. Light to moderate snow will enter Balt/Wash and Philadelphia regions later this morning and work its way to the NYC metro by late afternoon/early evening. Snow will accumulate several inches overnight. As Monday gets underway, a rapidly deepening low pressure center will develop off the Delmarva Peninsula and slowly work its way northeast. As this occurs, snowfall will pick up to very high intensity throughout the day on Monday. By Monday afternoon, expect snowfall rates of 1-3" per hour in spots with blowing and drifting snow. Winds will be gusting up to 40mph. Snow continues into Tuesday morning before finally tapering off Tuesday afternoon. This will be an all time classic.
Summary and Timing Information:
- Snow starts to fall in the Baltimore and Philadelphia areas later this morning. Expect several inches to accumulate
- By later this afternoon, the snow is starting to make it to the NYC metro area
- By nightfall conditions start to deteriorate.
- The storm is a one two punch
- The first round is later today and overnight where moderate accumulations will occur
- The second round is the main event and will kick in by Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning where blizzard conditions are possible at times and heavy snowfall rates
- The may be a slight break in the snowfall between these two rounds on Monday morning
- When it is all said and done many areas will be measuring snow in feet with potentially isolated 30" amounts
- I will be updating frequently throughout the storm with a big update tonight
Buckle up folks, the storm is going to hit us this time. I mentioned the word historical because I think when this is all said and done this storm has the potential to be a top 10. I base this on the duration, snowfall amounts and size of the impact zone.
Here is my final snowfall forecast below:
Zoomed In NYC metro:
As you can see I upped my totals as models are converging on the high impact scenerio.
Our storm is currently approaching the area seen in on radar imagery...
The first round of this system is the overrunning part and that is moving into the DC area now and will make it to NYC by later this afternoon...
Expect moderate accumulations across the whole region as this approaches.
By the time we get to tomorrow morning the coastal low is starting to develop and part two of the storm begins...
Mon Morning...
Monday afternoon..
Monday evening...
This is going to completely bomb out. The heaviest snow will occur where the intense banding sets up Monday. Most models place here below where you see the brown and white colors...
What you are looking at is warm moist air slamming into cold air. This causes tremendous lift in the atmosphere and intense snowfall rates. The peak period for this is Monday afternoon through the night. It is due to this that I have those amounts up to two feet.
We are also going to see very high gusty winds by Monday afternoon as the snow is falling hard...
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