Monday Storm Update: Major Winter Storm on Track for Wednesday

*Very Powerful Winter Storm to Impact Region Wednesday*

Good morning. I made a few small tweaks to my snowfall map from last night. I wanted to hone in more on the I-95 corridor as that will be the hardest area to forecast with this storm. I will have an evening update at 7pm.

Summary:

• A Major and potential blockbuster Winter Storm will impact the region Wednesday morning to Thursday morning
• Snow starts south to north Wednesday morning into early afternoon
• Snow ends Thursday morning after daybreak

• The height of this storm is Wednesday night
• Expect very strong winds, blowing snow and snowfall rates possibly over 2" per hour
• Temperatures in northern areas will also stay in the low 20's through the duration of this event
• Blizzard conditions will be possible in hardest hit spots

• Along the I-95 corridor expect snow to mix in with sleet and potentially some rain especially to the south as the storm pulls in some warm air
• This will cut down accumulations in areas like Baltimore/Washington and even as far north as Philadelphia
• My map below reflects this

• To the NW of I-95 this is the sweet spot for this storm where things will stay all snow for most

• When it is all said and done many areas will receive over a foot of snow with some localized areas approaching 2 feet.

Here is my updated forecast:

Here is a modeled animation of the storm from the European model...

I actually think this is a good track with maybe a slight nudge more north when it is all said and done.

The GFS model below is more south and would mean the areas like Philadelphia get in on heavy snow. I think this is wrong at this time and we will see it adjust north.

This storm is a fine line between strong high pressure to the north and a powerful storm to the south. I am basing my forecast on what normally happens historically in these situations.

Stay tuned. Will have a big update tonight at 7pm.