*Very Powerful Winter Storm to Impact Region Wednesday*
Good morning. I made a few small tweaks to my snowfall map from last night. I wanted to hone in more on the I-95 corridor as that will be the hardest area to forecast with this storm. I will have an evening update at 7pm.
Summary:
- A Major and potential blockbuster Winter Storm will impact the region Wednesday morning to Thursday morning
- Snow starts south to north Wednesday morning into early afternoon
- Snow ends Thursday morning after daybreak
- The height of this storm is Wednesday night
- Expect very strong winds, blowing snow and snowfall rates possibly over 2" per hour
- Temperatures in northern areas will also stay in the low 20's through the duration of this event
- Blizzard conditions will be possible in hardest hit spots
- Along the I-95 corridor expect snow to mix in with sleet and potentially some rain especially to the south as the storm pulls in some warm air
- This will cut down accumulations in areas like Baltimore/Washington and even as far north as Philadelphia
- My map below reflects this
- To the NW of I-95 this is the sweet spot for this storm where things will stay all snow for most
- When it is all said and done many areas will receive over a foot of snow with some localized areas approaching 2 feet.
Here is my updated forecast:
Here is a modeled animation of the storm from the European model...
I actually think this is a good track with maybe a slight nudge more north when it is all said and done.
The GFS model below is more south and would mean the areas like Philadelphia get in on heavy snow. I think this is wrong at this time and we will see it adjust north.
This storm is a fine line between strong high pressure to the north and a powerful storm to the south. I am basing my forecast on what normally happens historically in these situations.
Stay tuned. Will have a big update tonight at 7pm.
Thanks for the insight! For Middlesex County, are you leaning closer to 12” for snowfall or closer to 8”?
ReplyDeleteThanks!!
10 is a great middle ground for you
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DeleteI hope this is not a bust..... YOY it seems the same. The snow hype train hits Jersey and then fizzles out. I really would enjoy a whiteout.
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