Good morning. I encourage you to read my post from yesterday as I break down the major factors I am looking at that would support a winter storm for the region middle of next week (Wednesday).
Given we are still several days away I do not need to get caught up in the finer details yet. For now, just know the pattern is very ripe for storm development middle of next week and cold air will be in place. If I had to guess I would say this is a I-95 north type storm meaning if it did occur areas like Balt/Wash and Phili wouldn't see much snow.
The next 48 hours are key as we will be able to see if those key variables I highlighted yesterday are coming in alignment. If they trend the wrong way then we are left with cold and dry conditions.
I will also mention, there is a wave of low pressure that will move towards the region from the SW along a front on Monday. At this time models show it south of the area but there is a chance some snow makes it further north in areas like NNJ into southern New England. This would not be anything substantial but it bears watching....
Its in the wake of this that the cold air is established ahead of our main storm threat. Notice the cold high in place that is funneling cold air into the region. The factors I discussed yesterday, if in proper alignment, would lock this cold high in ahead of our main storm threat for Wednesday...
Stay tuned. I will be updating daily.
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