*MAJOR WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE REGION*
Starts Wednesday late afternoon/early evening
Ends Thursday morning after daybreak
A major winter storm is on track to move into the region late tomorrow. Light snow will overspread the area by late afternoon and pick up in intensity as we get into the overnight hours Snow will begin change to sleet along the I-95 corridor and plain rain in areas like southern NJ as we get into the early morning hours. To the north, things will stay mostly snow. At the height of the storm, snowfall rates could hit 1-3" per hour with winds gusting to 35mph causing blizzard conditions at times in the north. Snow then tapers off by late Thursday morning/early afternoon.
After looking at all the updated model data today, I decided to make no changes to my forecast. There is a heated debate in the weather community today on where this storm tracks. There are scenarios where this storm shifts more north bringing down totals across the whole area but I am not in that camp. Models tend to under estimate the strength of the cold air and from historical experience, I think the track I have makes sense Anyone who lives north of I-78 should see a very powerful winter storm. If I end up being wrong I will be first to admit it.
In any event, here is the original forecast that I will update if necessary tomorrow morning...
The short video below takes an updated look on how I expect this to evolve:
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