WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE

The 2023 Winter Outlook

Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Wednesday Note: Trying to Hone In

Good morning. I do not have an awful lot to say this morning. Over the next 24 hours I think I will have enough data to make a preliminary call on Sunday's storm system. I will be updating again around 6pm tonight. From what I see now, winter weather should stay focused off the coasts in the Northern Mid-Atlantic (NW I-95) and New England. The core of this system should effect the heart of New England with a mixed bag of precipitation in other areas. For areas along the coasts especially NJ, I do not think this is a big winter weather maker. 

 For now, I think model ensemble probabilities of snowfall exceeding 1" give the best idea of where impacts can be from this...
Notice the highest probabilities over heart of New England (orange) with moderate probabilities working their way into northern Mid-Atlantic(yellowish green). I looked at a lot of data and at this point I think this map sums things up the best. 

 I will have a bigger update later tonight around 6 pm.
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