Monday: First Flakes Possible Tomorrow Morning, Very Cold Wednesday

Overview:

Good morning. It will be a mild day across the region with temperatures in the upper 50's to lower 60's. To our west a frontal system is bringing a winter storm to areas of Western NY and New England. Over 6" of snow will be falling there today.

The front works it way towards our area tonight. Expect some light rain later tonight with temps then dropping rapidly by tomorrow morning. Some of this light rain will change to a little bit of light snow for most areas by tomorrow morning. Little or no snow accumulation is expected except for the higher elevations of NW NJ where up to 1/2" of snow can accumulate.

Temperatures then really crash for Wednesday where it will feel like Mid December. This cold lasts to the early weekend. 

Lets take a look:

Frontal system to our west today bringing a good amount of snow to ski areas and western NY. I expect around 6" in these areas and up to a foot in the Ski Areas of northern VT.

By early tomorrow morning, the front gets towards the coast with light rain developing..

By the time we get towards daybreak the colder air rushes in and there is the CHANCE for a quick shot of light snow on the back end of this front...

All areas can potentially see few flakes fly.

I am not expecting any accumulations except for maybe a dusting over NW NJ higher elevations and PA. This is just going to be a few flakes in the air for a short period of time.

The real cold then comes in for Wednesday morning. Real feel temps will be in single digits to teens at daybreak...

Even by the afternoon temperatures will not feel like they are above freezing...

Again these are real feel temps. Actual temps will be higher in the low to mid 30's for highs Wednesday.

The cold lingers into the beginning of the weekend and then things start to moderate.

The pattern then should stay active for the long range but I do not expect any widespread winter weather for any areas near the coast over the next 2 weeks. More seasonable to slightly below seasonable conditions should develop.

The attention then turns towards December. The jury is still out right now. There is a lot of data to support a mild December. My winter forecast supports that idea at least to start. I have a feeling by Mid-December winter really gets rocking this year.

More to come.