No changes to my thoughts from this morning. There will be rain and mixed precip for all light blue areas and areas on the southern portion of the dark blue Christmas eve late night. This however will turn back to snow before daybreak, especially in southern New England. For the light blue areas of NJ, its a very tough call. Rain or maybe some light snow moves in Christmas eve night then it turns to rain, then we need to see if by Christmas morning there is enough wrap around to give that coating of snow when the cold air moves back in.
Bottom line: If you live in anywhere but NW NJ this whole forecast of a coating depends on if we get a band of snow between 4am and 8am Christmas morning. For NW NJ there will be mixed precip back to snow. For Southern New England, rain at the coast back to snow at the tail end Christmas morning.
I will evaluate the final trends of this system and reflect it in my morning update.
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