WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE
Wednesday Update: Weekend Storm Threat Still Uncertain
Good morning. As the song normally goes we still do not have much more clarity on this weekends storm threat. Today has always been my benchmark day per my previous posts and videos. That means I will be making a preliminary call on this tomorrow morning regarding if how and where this storm will impact folks.
As of now models are more south compared to my thinking...
Notice the low pressure slides to our south. The reason this is south on the models is due to the upper level energy getting more strung out due to the western ridge not being amplified enough...
The result is the energy to the east of the ridge being too flat. We need to see if the models handle this differently. Any sharpening of that ridge moves this storm north. Given we are 4 days out that is certainly possible. It is usually in this period that we see of this goes boom or bust.
I think by tonight model runs we will have a better idea of how all this energy is handled. This should give me enough information to make an initial call on this tomorrow.
For now, I am keeping the moderate chance of a storm for Sunday.
Stay tuned.
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