Friday Update: Light Snow for Most Sunday Morning (South)

Good morning. Confidence is now very high regarding Sunday's light snow event for most. There will be a sharp cutoff in seeing any snow to the north so do not get excited if you live anywhere north of CNJ. The most accumulating snow will be in the Delmarva region with this.

No need to make an updated map as this isn't a big enough event to take the effort to do that (I have a day job too). This model printout makes sense to me below..

For the most part expect up to an inch in SNJ and up to a few inches to the south and west of SNJ with this. Most of the snow falls early Sunday morning. 

This storm if you even want to call it that is then over by the mid morning.

This did not amplify how I thought it could earlier in the week. That has been the tune of this winter so far.

In terms of the long range, the data looks great for a major pattern change that is actually starting now. However, there is data and there is reality. The reality is if we do not see a notable snow event before the end of January the winter is a bust in my opinion. No that doesn't mean it can't snow a lot if February, it probably will. We may even see an active march. However, based on my winter forecast January needs to be an active month. Only a big storm can save the day. That is not out of the question given the upcoming cold and stormy pattern but I am not going to lie is has been a frustrating winter.

Lets see what happens.