WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE

The 2023 Winter Outlook

Monday, December 23, 2019

Monday Summary: Tame Christmas Week, Some Action Possible After

Good morning. As we approach Christmas week the weather is going to stay quite tame. Temperatures will moderate and be mild overall this week. Christmas Eve and Day look to be very calm. Expect widespread 40's for highs. As we approach the New Year and beyond there are some signs the weather pattern activity picks back up again with a return to cold and potentially unsettled weather. 

As we go through this week, you can see how the jet stream is allowing warmer air from the Pacific to enter the eastern United States...


Not a complete blow torch but warmer than normal.

The pattern then turns a little more favorable towards the New Year...


This looks OK to me. We have a lot of cold air focused in Alaska (record breaking actually) which is usually not a great pattern for cold in the United states. However, there appears to be potentially be enough of a connection to bring some colder and stormier weather to the eastern United States as we hit the 1st week of the year.

A storm should impact interior New England just before the New Year with mixed precipitation and potential mountain snow later this weekend...


From there is the period that is very uncertain. Things do cool down again but I do not have the confidence to take a stand yet on if I think its sustainable or if things just stay neutral for the 1st two weeks of January. I will have to hone in on this over the next few days. I will say I will not like to see a tame weather pattern continue through 1st half of January. That is not a good sign for a great winter.

Stay tuned. 

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