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The 2023 Winter Outlook

Tuesday, December 4, 2018

Tuesday Note: Update Tomorrow

Good afternoon, or good morning in Hawaiian time. I will have a detailed update tomorrow morning. I am still tracking a storm threat for the 9th/10th time frame. As stands now models keep the threat south but we are still far enough out for things to change. I think this ends up inching more north and needs to be watched extremely closely. Model below is most aggressive and closer to my ideas of what I think can happen early next week...



Also, latest model guidance is now moving towards my December forecast for no sustainable warm up. After a brief moderation mid month all signs point to colder and stormy through the holidays.

My December forecast is below. Blue is lower pressures/cold stormy, yellow is high pressure and warm...



Latest models showing similar pattern below for 2nd half of the month...


stay tuned. 

5 comments:

  1. CONGRATULATIONS Willy! Enjoy beautiful Hawaii! Thanks for keeping us updated... fingers crossed this upcoming storm moves further north to include us. Happy honeymoon! :)

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