WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE
Thursday Update: Christmas Surprise?
Good morning. As we are about to embark on this major rainstorm tomorrow, the good news is there is a chance for some flakes to fly on Christmas eve! Granted, nothing major I am expecting, but we may just be able to squeeze enough out of a clipper system to coat the ground for some areas if things pan out. More on that in a min.
First off, we have a major rainstorm on tap for tomorrow...
This will be quite an impressive storm with high winds and driving rains. Many spots should see 2"+ of rain by Saturday morning when this starts to taper off. Ski areas are going to get hit hard by this and it will take its toll on their snow pack unfortunately.
In the wake of this cool air moves back into our area bringing temperatures back to normal.
We then turn our eyes to an upper level disturbance that if trends amplified enough, can cause flakes to fly Christmas Eve!
Looking above you are seeing energy in the upper atmosphere. The sharper this energy is, the more chance you get lift and precipitation/snow at the surface. All week the models have shown this disturbance but havent printed out much in term of precipitation.
Latest projections from the European (below) and gfs are starting to come around to the idea that this disturbance may amplify just enough to let the flakes fly...
I actually think this has a decent chance at occurring from what I see. What we can end up with is an inch or maybe two of snow falling north of I-78 on the 24th.
Lets see how this evolves. At least we got a shot here!
P.S. the stratosphere, as I discussed Monday really is priming up for a major warming. Mark my words, this will have impacts on our weather come January...
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