Saturday Morning Update: On Track, Eastern Florida Gets Crushing Blow...Video Tonight

Good morning. Irma is currently barreling through Cuba and is about to take a turn north towards Florida. Latest winds have weakened due to interaction with Cuba but do not be fooled! This will strengthen again as it makes it turn north towards the Keys and eastern FL. I expect a Cat 4 at landfall.

The outer bands are already starting to impact southern Florida as seen by the radar...

Here is updated NHC track, nothing has changed much just a nudge west...

This is worst case scenario for areas like Keys, Ft. Meyers and Naples, as part of the storm stays over water so it doesn't weaken as fast initially.

Here are updated model projections...

Storm makes landfall early Sunday morning completely crushing the Keys...

By Sunday night its battering Naples area (although impacts start much earlier)...

This will start to weaken significantly by Monday morning prob more than what is shown above but leave a path of destruction in its wake. Below are max wind gusts....

Folks on FL east coast expect sustained winds from 70 to 100mph with gusts above 130 mph, locally much high in hardest hit areas (150mph+). This is no joke!!! The storm surge will be 8+ feet for most prone areas.

Below in my previous post is a video I cut last night breaking this down. I will have another video update tonight between the 6-9pm time frame as Irma makes her final approach into Florida. It will be interesting to see how it re intensifies once over the open water again. A lot to follow!

Stay Tuned!