Overall, this is a New England special. Ski areas will be very happy with this storm system. The snow does have a chance to make it down to southern New England and maybe NW NJ into NE PA but that is still an outside chance at this point.
My map below sums this up...
The dark blue areas are were I am very confident there is accumulating snow. I am being conservative with snow amounts as there is a chance the mountains can see over a foot with this system.
The light blue area is left open due to the chance we see any southern shifts next few days which would be some snow and not all rain. I do not expect any shifts to go further south than this light blue zone. That is why the other areas are all rain. I am very confident in the green zone.
Latest model trends have had a bias towards the northern areas...
You can see above the mountains are getting hit hard including the Catskills. This is likely to be close to the final solution.
We will see over next 24 hours if there are any hints of a shift south.
Stay tuned.
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