Monday Thanksgiving Week Outlook

Good morning. As the holiday week is upon us, I figured it would be appropriate to give a weekly weather update. The good news is no major travel disruptions expected this Thanksgiving season. For the most part, conditions will be seasonable to slightly below normal temperature wise as we approach Thursday. Temperatures will peak in the mid to upper 50's tomorrow then a cold front moves into the region Wednesday...

This will remain disconnected from a wave of low pressure seen above in the Atlantic but some showers can be expected Wednesday for certain areas and snow showers in the interior.

By Thanksgiving day cooler air is here....

Temperatures will range from the upper 30's to mid 40's depending on where you live. We then see a little rebound in temps back into the upper 40's for Friday and Saturday with another more powerful cold front arriving Sunday...

Expect the chance at some showers as this front starts to move in on Saturday afternoon with again snow showers and squalls in the interior. Temperatures will drop back into the low 40's Sunday in the wake of this front.

<<<<<<<<<

So how about the long range? Well, the storm speculation is likely not going to pan out for this upcoming weekend....

Although we have the players on the field it is not looking like it wants to come together properly. For one we do not have a vortex of low pressure that is deep enough in eastern Canada. This allows the flow to escape out into the Atlantic ocean and remain more progressive resulting in no combination of northern and southern energy.  We will still watch this closely but it looks like a miss at this time. Regardless, if we keep this pattern into December it will deliver. 

Remember it is still November. Once the season starts to mature as we enter December a pattern like this will eventually produce. Although the pattern will moderate at times I think what you see above will be recurring as we move through the winter. Now whether it is just New England or the Mid-Atlantic as well remains to be seen. Remember per my winter forecast the core of winter should remain off the coast this year...

Anyone in the light to dark blue looks to be in good shape as we enter December. Areas along the I-95 in the Mid Atlantic remains to be seen. 

That's all for now.