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The 2023 Winter Outlook

Thursday, November 30, 2017

Thursday: Illustration of the Arctic Plunge

Below shows the pattern that will take hold from the end of next week onward. Notice all the arctic air pouring into the east and staying locked in.....



The result of this pattern will be high temperatures in the mid to upper 30's and very cold lows at night. We also need to watch for a storm to develop on the backside of this initial arctic surge by the end of next week.I will start to comment more on the chances of this in a detailed post tomorrow Cold air will clearly be established and we then turn our attention to any amplifying pieces of energy (shortwave) up at 18000 ft. I posted this image to twitter to show my point last night...

If we get something to dig in enough to this pattern then a storm will develop. That is not a guarantee but as I mentioned Monday, the 8th to 18th is when i expect the best chances for something to occur. The other scenario is the cold air is too strong and it suppresses any storm development. 


More to come on this. 

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