WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE

The 2023 Winter Outlook

Tuesday, January 3, 2023

Happy New Year: Warm Pattern Continues Until Mid Month, Still Can Snow

 Happy New Year! This year has come in with a big mild spell along the east and frequent mountain snowstorms out west. You can thank an active pacific jet stream to this. As we head into the next 10 days, I do expect this milder pattern to continue but then step down to a more winter like pattern by 3rd week of January. In the meantime there will actually still be some shots for flakes to fly starting early next week.

Lets take a quick look...

Pacific jet is strong spraying mild air into the country...




This is due to a variety of factors. Two main factors being the Polar Vortex being very strong and unfavorable thunderstorm location in the tropics. When the Polar Vortex is strong the cold air stays locked up to the north...



Both these factors I just mentioned however I do expect to change by the 2nd half of the month turning our pattern back to winter in the east coast. 

In the meantime, it still can snow. Despite the fact its warmer than normal, its January so it warmer than normal still can be cold enough.

We will see some light snow in New England this weekend, followed but another potential light snowfall further south Sunday...


Then on Sunday a wave tries to come through with a good colder high to its west...


Need to keep an eye on this. When I see higher pressures over the west shore of Hudson Bay Canada it means cold air can be supplied if a wave wants to spin up into a storm...


We then once again, despite a warmer than normal pattern have to watch for low pressure/storm development towards late next week.

Conclusion: The big mild air does subside but it stays warmer than normal though the 15th. Despite this, it still can snow due to a little warmer than normal in January still being cold enough to snow given its the coldest time of the year climatologically. 


Stay tuned. 

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