Good morning. We are still about a week away from our pattern change I discussed but that is not stopping the weather from doing what it wants. A weak to moderate storm system is going to approach the region from the west on Sunday and spread accumulating snow into areas off the coast to the NW. The timing will be mid morning Sunday to Sunday night. Below is my first estimate of impacts and is subject to change over next few days...
As you can see the focus is off the coasts for any accumulations. As of now, here is the model I think that is handling this system the best, the GFS model...
Snow spreads into some areas Sunday morning...
At this time I do not think this makes it too much further south. I think the Poconos, Catskills are the bullseye for the system with some light accumulations elsewhere.
We then start our transition next week to a true winter pattern. A storm system cuts to our west Thursday redevelops over the east giving interior New England snow...
This storm will usher in the pattern change and we then need to look for snow closer to the coasts through the end of the month. Stay tuned.
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