I continue to view the 10th to 20th time period as a step down to winter weather for the northern Mid-Atlantic into New England. This means the shot at at least 1 snow event for areas off the immediate coasts. For areas on the coast the best chance will be later this month as the oceans are still very warm and make it harder for it to snow. Regardless, a very active period is on tap and it has a similar look to some great Decembers of the last two decades.
Models have still been trying to sort out details on this period but I like what I see. We have a major block in the jet stream that is modeled to develop an strengthen. This means any storm energy that moves towards our region will get "clogged up" and have some cold air to play with.
In terms of this week, a storm system approaches from the west on Friday night and should hit the I-80 corridor in PA with a nice band of snow before fizzling out when it gets towards NJ. I am still keeping a close eye on this, but the Canadian model makes the most sense to me...
Most models have this fizzling out by the time it gets into NJ. This can def happen as it is running into a dry airmass. The Canadian has some lingering snow still make in it...
This is prob overdone and I would say that as of now the chance of light snow for areas in NW NJ Saturday Morning.
The block I discussed then takes hold next week...
That red blob over Hudson bay and western Greenland can cause all sorts of mischief as storms undercut it (blue shades). We need to watch middle of next week for something to spin up along the eastern seaboard.
This pattern then should continue into the 3rd week of December.
Stay tuned will have more details as things evolve.
No comments:
Post a Comment