Expect a front end thump of snow this afternoon. All indicators are it comes in hard and fast with high snowfall rates for a few hours. This means roads can really deteriorate quickly for some areas. Even after sleet changeover the surface still stays freezing. Bottom Line: not a good time to travel later this afternoon.
I took my pink zone and split it in half to turn the old 1-4 inches into two zones of 1-3 and 2-4. The impacts will be mainly from early this afternoon through this evening. So not a good evening commute today. Areas in interior PA into New England stay all snow. Someone will see 8"+ out there.
Current radar shows the storm approaching...
It is currently very cold out there...
The short range HRRR models does a good job showing how the storm evolves with the ice making its way in after a few hours of snow...
A concern of mine is how hard it may snow before this changes over. The short range guidance also shows snowfall rate of up to 2" per hours by middle of this afternoon..
This would be a disaster for the evening commute.
Buckle up! Winter is here and things will not be warming up too much through Thanksgiving.
Update later when storm is underway.
Sweet! Off to a good start so far!
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