Wednesday Morning: Storm is Underway

******8:30am update: this storm is colder than expected already with sleet mixing in to the east and plain snow already in Morristown, NJ. Be on alert for travel as temps are decreasing rapidly. Looks like the models overestimated the warmth. Stay tuned!!******



Good morning. Our storm is now underway and here is a quick breakdown and what to expect. Expect frequent updates throughout the day and also on twitter which is linked to the right hand pane of this blog.

Here is our current radar..

That blue snow band with work its way to the south and east as the day progresses and temperatures fall. By 10am I expect north western zones to be changing over to snow..Elevation is going to play a huge factor here. 

As temperatures continue to fall this snow band works its way over towards interstate 95 by early afternoon

This is where travel should start to really diminish especially north and west. NYC and PHI I still think you are rain if not a mixed bag of precipitation at this time. Roads should not be bad yet in eastern zones.

By 3pm I expect the eastern zones to start seeing deteriorating conditions. In the image below red is snow..

Bottom line travel only gets worse as the day goes on from northwest to southeast. The big cities hold on to rain much longer before a changeover to snow this evening. Higher elevations north and west of 95 are the money zone for snow. Here is the latest high resolution model snow output which I like and think follows my forecast nicely..

As a reminder I expect 2-3 NYC, 7" Morristown NJ, Balt/Wash 3", 10" higher elevations of north west NJ, and 12+ near Worcester MA.

My going foreacst..

Remember for those who stay rain longer, that is expected and was build into my snow accumulations especially in the light blue zone. Your snow should not come till the end.

Stay tuned frequent updates throughout the day. I am now going to focus on the temperature profiles in everyones area and where the heavy snow banding might set up. Feel free to share any observations in the comments section or on twitter.