Good morning. I have been up in VT the last week so posting has been limited. We have a late season snow event on tap tomorrow for some followed by a big storm this weekend with will bring rain possibly changing to snow.
Summary:
- A late season winter storm approaches the area by daybreak tomorrow
- Snow lasts till mid afternoon
- The focus for accumulating snow is NW of I95 and especially NW NJ into PA.
- For areas closer to I-95 snow will fall but surface temps will stay warm holding most accumulations to grassy areas
- My map below reflects this
Let's take a look..
Cold air is currently in place due to a cold front that entered the region last night. A storm will then approach from the southwest along this front late tonight.
By early tomorrow morning snow overspreads the area..
Although snow should fall all the way down to the I-95 corridor, accumulations on pavement should be limited outside NNJ and especially the higher terrain of NW NJ. This is due to the marginal surface temperatures dunning this storm. Regardless, many will see flakes fly and it will accumulate on grassy surfaces.
By the mid afternoon, the storm starts to wind down over PA and NJ but still is going over New England...
In terms of accumulations, this is tricky due to the fact the surface will not be too cold. For example, take a look at the freezing line (grey) tomorrow morning during the storm below. Notice most areas the surface is above freezing...
Snow will still accumulate on the grass areas, but for it to stick to the pavement it needs to come down hard. We will likely have the best chance of this in NW NJ into PA.
Moving on to the weekend, we then have a very large storm to track. At this time, it is rain to snow for many with heavy snow into the far interior. I will have more info on this in the days to come....
Stay tuned.
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