A Closer Look at the Thursday and Friday Storm

Good Morning, a storm will effect our region early Thursday into Friday with rain and wind. There remains a model spread between the European which has been the most consistent, the Canadian, and the GFS which is the least intense. I am going with a blend of 35% GFS and 65% European for my forecast. Lets take a look at the difference between rainfall amounts..

European...

Large area of 2-4 inches of rain.

The GFS..

Hard to see but you can click to make bigger. Keeps heavy rain off shore has up to one inch for mid-Atlantic Delmarva area, much less for Jersey. 

Overall I expect you will see rain and wind start very early on Thursday for the MD and DE areas then spread to NJ by afternoon Thursday. The storm will stall out and spin moisture into our area throughout the day Friday, ending with showers by Friday night. I think the weekend should remain spared by this system. Expect 1-3 inches of rainfall, with the heaviest amounts over DE and MD areas. There will be wind associated with this system especially along the coast with gusts up to 40 mph, less wind the further inland you go. 


I will also mention it looks like a pattern change to colder weather is on the way for the end of Oct for the east coast. More on that later this week.

Thanks for checking in.