Sunday Update: Initial Forecast for Tuesday

Good afternoon. A very active pattern is ahead.

Quite the ice storm last night for spots. Totals where pretty erratic across NNJ and were highest as you got towards NE NJ. I saw some reports around 4". In Randolph we had 2.4" including sleet. Overall the forecast map did ok. I missed some of the higher totals in NE NJ and Long island.

Our next weather system moves in on Tuesday and Tuesday night. The focus should be more south this time. Below is my initial idea. I will update this tomorrow as I start to hone in on things.

We then have another system on Thursday that will be ice to rain for some spots and all snow to the far north in New England. More to come on that. 

Saturday Morning: Final Forecast

 Below is my final forecast. Storm moves in just after dusk tonight and is over by tomorrow morning. Snow to heavy sleet for some with all snow to the north. Rain to far south after an initial period of ice. 

Friday Update: Winter Storm Moves in Sat Night

 Below is my initial forecast for Sat night's winter storm. I will have a final forecast out tomorrow morning. Expect a front end burst of snow late tomorrow afternoon/evening with a changeover to sleet south of New England.

We then have more winter weather next week between Tuesday and Thursday I will be discussing. 

Wednesday Night Update: Three Winter Events Next 7 Days

Good evening. I cut a video to break down my thoughts on what could be quite the winter period over the next 7 days. Snow to ice moves in tonight, more snow and ice moves in Saturday night (could be heavier than tonight), then we have the potential for a big storm Tuesday into Wednesday. Winter looks to hold on into March this year. Buckle up. 

Tuesday Update: Winter Precipitation on Thursday Morning

 Good afternoon. On Thursday morning, will have our first of a series of winter storms that will impact the region as we march through Feb. At this time I like an initial burst of snow to the north before a changeover to liquid. All this occurs early Thursday morning. We then have another mixed winter precipitation event on Sunday followed by another threat middle of next week.

Here is the model I think represents Thursday the best. Initial burst of snow then things change to ice and light rain in southern zones. 

Sunday Feb 2nd Update: Snow Tonight

 Good afternoon. We will have a light snow event that moves through the region tonight. Expey one to two inches of snowfall by the morning. 

Things will then get mild for a few days before winter returns with a vengeance for the rest of February. I'm expecting multiple opportunities for accumulating snowfall as we head through the month even into early March. This will be accompanied by some impressive cold outbreaks as well. 

The first chance for a larger system will be around super bowl Sunday. Stay tuned. 

In the meantime here is a model snow map for tonight. This makes sense to me. 

Sunday Snowstorm Update: On Track

 Good morning. Our snowstorm is on track. Snow approaches by mid afternoon and picks up quickly in intensity. Snowfall rates up to 1" per hour. It will be a quick but hard hitter ending by around midnight. Below is my final forecast..

Brutal cold follows for Monday and Tuesday in its wake. Temps in the single digits each morning. Bundle up, deep winter is here!