Good evening. We can now narrow down the finer details of Hurricane Henri. The latest data keeps the storm a little weaker but still tracks it into eastern Long Island/Rhode Island as it makes a left turn into the mainland and weakens it from a hurricane to a tropical storm. The biggest impacts will be at the immediate coasts with costal flooding and high wind gusts. At this time it does not look like Henri will stay hurricane status before impact (75MPH+ winds). Regardless, there will still be big impacts for some.
Here is updated NHC forecast...
Notice the center of the cone is the large impacts with the winds that will gust over 50mph and storm surge.
The storm currently sits just off the coast of VA and is trying to strengthen...
Not the most impressive looking system ive seen but it still will pack a punch.
Here is expected tropical storm force wind probabilities (39mph plus sustained)...
Storm makes landfall early tomorrow morning...
Areas near the center of that eye will see the strongest winds along the immediate coast. To the west its a soaking rain all day with gusty winds at times.
By the afternoon notice the storm gets pulled west...
Heavy rain becomes the threat in NJ NY etc tomorrow. Several inches could fall...
There continues to be a model spread in terms of rain placement. The GFS has a narrower swath of rain...
The NAM model tugs it much more west into NJ with soaking rains...
I think we split the difference here.
The storm is over by tomorrow night. In its wake expect to see most damage from flooding at the coasts where that eye hits and stacks up water along the shorelines.
Good thing this isn't going to hit as a stronger storm or it would be devastating.
We will see how this looks by morning.
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