Good morning. It has been a while since I posted as the world as been crazy over the last week and I have been setting up my home office for my day job. In any event, I hope everyone is staying safe and I wanted to take some time to review the weather over the next several days.
In summary, rain continues on and off through tomorrow. A big cold front then moves into the region Saturday morning bringing with it colder than normal air. This cold air then trys to stay in place as a weather disturbance approaches the region on Monday afternoon. There are some models that are hinting it can snow from this for many areas NW of I-95. I am not 100% bought in yet but it is worth discussing.
Starting off, unsettled cloudy weather continues through tomorrow until our cold front passes through Saturday morning...
Temperatures will feel much colder with highs in the upper 30's to low 40s for many areas Saturday and Sunday. Lows will be in the 20's at night.
Then the fun starts as a disturbance approaches form the west Monday...
European Model...
GFS Model...
Looking above notice how the area I circled on the European model is deeper than the circle on the GFS. This represents how strong the disturbance is.
The European model has a stronger disturbance which means a more dynamic storm that can cause accumulating snow Monday...
The GFS is flatter and weaker and doesn't do much...
As crazy as it sounds I am more in the European camp right now on this. I am not saying the storm is as intense as shown but I think we actually got a shot for some snow Monday.
When we are late season like this, wavelengths in the jet stream shorten and sudden storms like this can pop up. Considering I am very confident cold air will be in place the only factor to watch is how strong the disturbance is.
I will be updating daily.
Stay tuned!
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