A Closer Look at Sunday's Rain Storm

Good morning. We will have a good old fashioned rain storm to deal with Sunday. A big frontal system will start approaching from the west Saturday night...

By Sunday morning periods of rain heavy rain break out region wide...

Expect winds to pick up, gusting as high as 35 mph in many areas during the day.

The next move is a low pressure system to develop along this front and those details still need to be ironed out. The current gfs shows the low develop off shore later Sunday then hook into New England...

The European model is much more aggressive developing this low further west and tracks it inland...

I am not buying this scenario right now as I think the European is showing a bias here. The GFS scenario seems more realistic which means that low hooks back in like this...

Regardless, this is still an impactful event and will drop heavy amounts of rain (1-4") and wind to many areas including NJ. 

In its wake we have a very cold air mass that moves in which will make it feel like late November!

More on this tomorrow as we get more model data.