Some years it wants to snow some years it doesn't and it seems like this year is one of those years. For example, the rain storm that we will see tomorrow originally looked like it could be snow. As you see below, that clearly will not be the case..
Now there is a shot we do see a snow event Thursday morning as a wave of low pressure develops along an approaching polar front....
Not all models agree on this but at this time I say this is a 50/50 shot at a moderate snowfall for many areas. If all the cards align properly, we would be looking at maybe 3-5 inches. I will make more of a stance on this tomorrow after I look at today's data..
In the wake of what ever happens on Thursday, we then go into a back and forth type pattern. There will be more cold shots, but there also will be some mild days as well. We can get a big storm in the pattern over the next 2-3 weeks, I am just telling you guys that its the type of winter were I would't count on it. Lets just see if we are pleasantly surprised.
I will say the 2-3 week pattern on paper really doesn't look bad.....
So lets see how this plays out, one step at a time. Stay tuned for updates on Thursday.
It's only one winter. From 1984 to 1993 almost a decade the NYC metro area didn't see a single storm of more than 10 inches. Most of the winters had storms with at most 6.
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