Good morning. Normal posting frequency for the winter season is starting. Expect a few posts a week discussing the evolving weather pattern.
Today I want to briefly touch on Thanksgiving week. The weather will be a little bit of a roller coaster with back and forth weather conditions.
In summary, we will see cold air take hold into this weekend, back off for a day or two then reestablish its self mid week. Thanksgiving may be a little warmer but then things cool down again next weekend. In terms of storms, we have a big frontal system that moves through on Monday that can cause New England mountain snows, then my eyes are on late next weekend for a storm to develop. More below.
Cold air takes hold through Saturday before a brief warmup Sunday. Lows on Saturday morning will be in the 20's in many spots...
Warmer air arrives Sunday ahead of a big frontal system on Monday that sweeps through the area...
There is a blocking pattern in place so as this swings through the ski areas of New England can see some upslope mtn snows on Tuesday as the low pressure sits off the coast. Expect colder than normal conditions for other areas with the chance at snow flurries/showers.
Things then get more seasonable for Thanksgiving ahead of a potential storm system late next weekend into early the following week. This is very far off so now things will get speculative. What I am watching is a blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere evolve. What this means is high pressure over Greenland could cause the jet stream to get clogged up and energy to consolidate along the east coast...
What you see above is what im talking about. Red areas are high pressure, blue are lower pressures. If and this is a big if, we see things come together correctly, a storm could develop somewhere in the eastern 1/3 late next weekend. If on the other hand this pattern breaks down, then nothing will occur.
Just some speculation for now but I will keep an eye on it. Stay tuned.
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