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The 2023 Winter Outlook

Friday, August 30, 2019

Friday Update on Hurricane Dorian

Good morning. Hurricane Dorian continues to develop and strengthen...



Latest model guidance over last 24 hours has trended more towards a direct Florida hit or a scrape by...



The national hurricane center has adjusted their cone...



The storm is expected to strengthen into a Category 3 or 4 storm by the time it gets near Florida. This means winds at the center over 100mph.

The center will pack a punch but be relatively small in area...



However, many models are slowing the storm down as it approaches which means this can be a higher impact event especially with rainfall. If this lingers we can be looking at over a foot of rain in spots in eastern Fl.

There still are some outside model members that range from not hitting Florida at all or even heading into the gulf...




It will all come down to placement of upper level features in the atmosphere that steer this storm.

By tomorrow we should have a better handle on this. Regardless, the time to prepare for areas in Florida is now. We can all hope for the curve off the coast but the direct impact is still in the cards.


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