Currently we have a disorganized low pressure center that is expected to strengthen over the warm gulf water next 24 hours...
The national hurricane center just updated their projected track and have this reaching strength of a Cat 1...
Current model ensembles show a similar path but also do show some potential this goes more west...
Currently the consensus is this reaches cat 1 strength with winds at least 74mph...
The HWRF hurricane model gives a good projection of the consensus forecast right now with landfall in Louisiana....
Over a foot of rainfall can drop in the hardest hit areas from this system.
We are really going to have to pay close attention to this over next few days. Like I said if this lingers more than expected over water than it can strengthen more than what the current forecast is.
More to come.
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