WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE

The 2023 Winter Outlook

Monday, October 15, 2018

The 2019 Winter Outlook

Welcome to the 2019 winter outlook! Its always a fun time of year when I get to share my speculation on what the upcoming winter season may bring. What I have learned over the years is no matter how much preparation and time is spent trying to project what Mother Nature might do for an upcoming winter, there will always be surprises.  Regardless of this, I always choose to take a stance and express my ideas with confidence. Below you will see a bullet point summary of what to expect, followed by impact maps, and then finally a video explaining how I made the forecast for those who care about those details.

Now before we begin, here was my temperature projection for last winter vs what actually happened. On both maps blue are below normal.

Last years forecast..


Actual..


Overall, this worked out very well actually.  That probably means this year's forecast will go up in smoke.

Joking aside, lets get to it!


Summary

Mid-Atlantic and Northeast:


  • An old fashioned cold and snowy winter is on tap
    • Bitter cold shots will start in November and last throughout the winter
  • Above average snowfall for most areas with the epicenter being in the interior Mid-Atlantic into New England.
    • The major Mid-Atlantic cities will see slightly above average snowfall
    • The major New England cities will see snowfall well above average
    • The interior Mid-Atlantic and Northeast will see the epicenter of snowfall
      • A ski country special
  • Two to three significant winter storms can be expected
The South:
  • Expect a noticeably chilly winter with the chance of some snowfall
  • Major cities will have the shot at light accumulations by the turn of the New Year (Atlanta, Charlotte, Nashville, etc.)
  • There will be periods of moderation
The West:
  • Expect warmer than normal conditions near the Pacific coast with a normal temperature pattern for the interior west.
  • The northern Rockies should see slightly above average snowfall, with average to below average snowfall for all other western regions. 
The Heartland:
  • The nations heartland should see an overall chilly but normal winter for snowfall.



My Outlook Maps:









So there it is. As you can see I am all in on a harsh winter for many areas. Now time will tell on if this all pans out. 

My video below gives further details and goes into the rational behind my forecast. 

Enjoy!


46 comments:

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