Monday Weather Summary: More Wet and Unsettled Weather, Winter Tease

Good morning. Rainfall, thats been the story of this month so far as multiple storm systems have dropped heavy rain over the region. In my backyard, I have measured over 8" just this month alone. Pretty impressive and destructive for some as the rain has caused flooding.

Unfortunately, this week a stalled frontal boundary means more rounds of rain for the area.  Starting today, we will see some showers move in...

By tomorrow, it will not be as widespread, but more scattered showers can be expected..

We then should see a break Wed and Thurs before a more organized system arrives for Friday and Saturday. Indications are a low pressure system can develop  along the frontal system...

This would mean showers Friday and the chance at more consistent rain Saturday morning. We will have to wait and see what happens here. Regardless, the pattern of wet weather will continue.

Sunday looks to be a decent day overall. 

Winter Outlook Teaser:

We are  two months out from my winter outlook 2019, but of course I have begun to research the topic.

I always take long range models with a grain of salt for seasonal forecasting. Many times they are wrong. Regardless, just for fun here is the CANSIPS model for winter. I show this because it looks like the European Seasonal model which I do not have access too...

You can see a pattern of high pressure over the top with a pocket of storminess underneath in the east (blue). This would be quite the pattern for the Mid Atlantic into New England as a lot of energy would get caught up over the east and there would be cold air available. 

Can this occur? Stay tuned.