Monday Weather Summary: Heat Wave Returns

Good morning. Sorry for the lack of posting, I have been extremely busy. Jumping right into the weather, we are now going to be under another heat wave through Thursday. It was a big tease with the fall like weather last few days and this week will remind us that it is still summer.

A large upper level ridge of high pressure will sit over our area through the next few days bringing with it warm moist air from the southwest...

Expect temps in the low to mid 90s, with heat indexes close to 100 in some spots (what it feels like) through at least Wednesday.

Relief then comes Thursday night as a cold front moves in with showers and storms...

In the wake of this, drier pleasant air enters the region and it looks to be a great weekend with temperatures in the low 80s with a comfortable feel in the air.


We then may see another return to the heat for early September before a potential pattern change by mid September into cooler than normal fall like weather. The jury is still out on this. 

Remember my Winter Outlook 2019 will be out in October as well. 

Monday Weather Summary: More Wet and Unsettled Weather, Winter Tease

Good morning. Rainfall, thats been the story of this month so far as multiple storm systems have dropped heavy rain over the region. In my backyard, I have measured over 8" just this month alone. Pretty impressive and destructive for some as the rain has caused flooding.

Unfortunately, this week a stalled frontal boundary means more rounds of rain for the area.  Starting today, we will see some showers move in...

By tomorrow, it will not be as widespread, but more scattered showers can be expected..

We then should see a break Wed and Thurs before a more organized system arrives for Friday and Saturday. Indications are a low pressure system can develop  along the frontal system...

This would mean showers Friday and the chance at more consistent rain Saturday morning. We will have to wait and see what happens here. Regardless, the pattern of wet weather will continue.

Sunday looks to be a decent day overall. 

Winter Outlook Teaser:

We are  two months out from my winter outlook 2019, but of course I have begun to research the topic.

I always take long range models with a grain of salt for seasonal forecasting. Many times they are wrong. Regardless, just for fun here is the CANSIPS model for winter. I show this because it looks like the European Seasonal model which I do not have access too...

You can see a pattern of high pressure over the top with a pocket of storminess underneath in the east (blue). This would be quite the pattern for the Mid Atlantic into New England as a lot of energy would get caught up over the east and there would be cold air available. 

Can this occur? Stay tuned.