Sunday Night Video Discussion: Snow Threat for Tuesday

Abstract: 

A moderate winter storm looks like it will impact the area Tuesday morning into Wednesday. This storm will develop along an arctic front producing high ratio snows for much of the forecast area, similar to what occurred earlier this month. Earlier in the week the modeling kept this storm out to sea due to the complexities between the interaction of the arctic front and the timing of the upper air disturbance from Canada. However, all year we have seen the modeling repeat the same error of not driving these disturbances deep enough into the CONUS which results in an offshore solution. It looks like that error has occurred again we are now seeing the westward correction in model guidance. Right now I am seeing a general 3-6" snowfall for our region. More details in video above along with Superbowl thoughts.