Good morning everyone. Considering the Giants, Jets, and Mets all lost this weekend, lets focus on the good news which is the warm weather over the next 10 days. Yes it is now November 2nd but it is going to feel like September over the next week or two. This means temperatures will be in the 60's for high and quite possible hit 70 once or twice! At this time of year consider that a bonus.
Lets take a look at the reasons why. Our projected weather pattern will look something like this..
The red represents warm high pressure, the blue represents cooler low pressure. Notice that the cooler conditions are along the west coast. This in turn pumps up a warm high pressure ridge over our area for the foreseeable future. Remember the jet stream acts as a barrier between two air masses, so when it rises over our area like this, it allows the warm air from the south to flow up.
I mentioned in my post on Thursday how another big factor that is influencing this warmer pattern is the positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation. That will stay in tact over next week which also results in the cold air staying locked up in Canada.
So does this mean the Winter is now going to be warm? The answer is no. Right now we are simply seeing the jet stream react differently in one season as opposed to another. What I mean by this is as the season moves into Winter the temperature contrasts between the north and south will get more extreme. This STRENGTHENS the jet stream. When you strengthen the jet stream the same pattern that produces the image above in one month, can produce the complete opposite in another. This is something we are going to have to watch evolve as we head into the 2nd half of November. In fact, I think the period from Nov 15th to the 30 will look much different than what you see above. This means by late November we can find ourselves in a more winter like pattern.
But for now, lets all enjoy this beautiful weather and limited chances at rain though Friday.
More to come mid week.
Thanks for reading.