In terms of model performance, this image literally sums it up below:
It now appears the European weather model will score an epic victory against all other model guidance which are now folding into its camp.
I cut a quick video below (under 3 min) explaining the situation and ALSO what could still bring this back to land (unlikely). Enjoy and thanks again for all the site visits!
To be certain, please check in tomorrow morning. I will have a quick update in case there are any drastic changes. If this does change then so be it, I will take it on the chin but we are at a point now where I want to give you guys an actual forecast that's more than a day out.
ALSO DO NOT FORGET MY 2016 WINTER FORECAST WILL BE OUT ON MONDAY OCTOBER 19TH!