Starting with Thursday- as I mentioned in my video yesterday, I expect the storm system to skirt the coast. That means I expect accumulating snow in northeast areas of New England and light snow in the northern mid-Atlantic. I think for areas near the coast in Maine and Mass 6 inches is not out of the question. For most other areas expect 2-5 inches. If I have time i'll draw out a map tomorrow for this threat. I still think we can see a last second shift further west.
Moving on to early next week we have a very interesting pattern setting up.
Ahead of early next week notice the nice strong high pressure over greenland (negative NAO) and the low pressure area in eastern Canada. These are to favorable components to storm development.
As we head along to Sunday, the pattern evolves more..
Notice now the small white and blue circle out in the plains. That is now a disturbance in the northern jet stream that is diving down towards the coast. The block we have up in Greenland still along with that low pressure lingering in eastern Canada favors the amplification of this disturbance..
Before everyone gets too excited everything has to come together perfectly for this to become the "big one" For example, if we have another disturbance coming in behind the initial one trying to redevelop off the coast it will try to "kick" the first storm more off shore as it deepens. You can see evidence of this below as a second disturbance in the plains trys to push it off shore..
Bottom line the potential is there and at this point it is favorable we see at least light snow. Otherwise we need more data before we jump the gun here. Lets see how this evolves.