Friday, February 20, 2015

Skiing For the Weekend, Quick Update on Storm

Good morning, for later Saturday into Sunday we have a colder model trend to deal with here.  Many areas should see a front end thump of snow before a change over to ice and rain briefly at the end. When it is all said and done expect a 2-5 inches in the northwest counties and lesser amount as you head towards the coast. 

Here are the conditions at 7pm Saturday, snow should start to break out later Saturday afternoon so keep that in mind. 

You can see where the accumulating snow will fall in NJ and other areas. This model projection sums up the cutoff between an initial inch or two and up to 5 inches of snow. 

At the end here is the quick changeover..

I am still eyeing Wednesday for a potential storm and will try to have more info on that later today or tonight. Sorry for the unusual lack of detail in today's post I just am looking forward to hitting the slopes. 

1 comment:

  1. Looks like 20 and 1/2 inches total seasonal snowfall at EWR as of today. My look at the 12Z freebie model runs suggests another 4 over the weekend (if we don't get that northward push again, NAO still looks pretty strong today). What is Boston, 90+ ? As to Wednesday, 12Z runs suggest another inch or two, but the big moisture staying out past 40/70 (don't know if Euro is sticking to its guns with a more westward track). This can and will change, obviously, but NWS and WeatherUnderground "Best Forecast" seem to pooh-pooh this one right now. GFS seems to suggest a big coastal thing forming right over us on March 1-2, CMC keeps it over the fish. Then again, at the 240 hour point, model runs sometimes seem more like fiction writing. But then again once again, the WU "Best" is now showing 8-12 inches for March 1! Andrew at Weather Centre just took a look a the telecon forecasts, he seems to agree that the western ridge will back down a bit and temps here may warm up a little by early March. But he also sez don't put the woolies away yet. Enjoy the slopes! Jim G