Well we have a snowstorm underway out there and for some areas it looks like it will stay snow. When all is said and done several inches will fall for most areas with up to 6+. Expect it all to be over as we get past midnight. Some areas near the coast do change over at the end to ice and rain but it looks like from I95 north and west it stays snow. Originally this system looked like snow changing to ice and rain for most areas. The reason things have changed is due to pressing high pressure from the northwest along with a ridge of high pressure over the southeast becoming weather. This allowed cold air to hold in the upper levels. I would have broke this down more over the least few days but I have been away skiing as I mentioned before.
There is still a shot we see a storm on Wednesday but the chances are diminishing at this point. We have a strong disturbance coming through on the southern stream but nothing that looks like it wants to phase with it at this point. It is essential here that we wait for the current storm to pass as it will have drastic implications on the upper air pattern ahead of Wednesday. Upper air patterns steer storms and disturbances in the upper atmosphere as well as influence the placement of surface high an flow pressure. For example, if this current storm blows up in the right spot near eastern Canada we can have more amplification along the east coast allowing a potential phase.
Thanks for checking in, bittern cold air returns again tomorrow and lasts all week. When I am home tomorrow night I will start having more details in these posts.
I'll have quick commentary tomorrow morning and look at snow totals. I wish I had the time to make a map as its always interesting to see how my forecasts pan out. I guess my original call was 2-5" from my post two days ago which I tweaked upwards this morning.
Hopefully there will be a next one!