Tuesday Morning Summary

Good Morning. This week will be represented by rain coming thorough our region today and temperatures range bound between 32-45 degrees. Spring is in the air, but this pattern as I said still can produce snow (possibly a strong storm) in the next two weeks. Looks liek this weekend we can see a shot at some snow in the northern counties and then again possibly early next week. I have not seen the clear break in the pattern yet that would signal spring is here for good, and until I do I will keep an eye on potential events. Early next week would be the chance at a bigger storm it it will either effect the great lake region with snow and our area with rain, or if the storm develops more to the east it could spell trouble for us. 

I will take a closer look at all of this tonight and cut a video...

Keeping My Eye On A Grand Finalie To Winter

Post coming 9pm Monday night.

Friday PM: This Weather Pattern Does Not Want to Break

Before I get to the upcoming pattern next few weeks lets take a look at how i did with this last storm....


Official Snowfall:

My Map:

Overall the perdiction turned out very well with the Baltmore DC Area. I did underestimate the whip around snows that hit north jersey today and instead of 2-5 it came out to be more like 4-8. The new england forecast was decent, but I missed some areas of CT getting hit harder. Overall I would give myself a B on this forecast. I will take credit for telling everyone DC and Baltmore it was way over hyped. Hope I helped some people stay ahead of the hype.

On a different note lets talk about the upcoming pattern for next two weeks. I am out west till monday night so I have not had much time to update blog, but that does not mean there is not weather to talk about. This pattern does not want to break! Our area will continue to see colder conditions though the next 2 weeks of march with a few spring days peppered in. There will be more shots at spring style snow events (similar to todays storm) and I am keeping an eye on a week for today for a possible development along the east coast.

The reason we will stay in an active winter pattern is because of the extreme amount of high pressure in canada that does not want to budge. This is keeping the cold air trapped the lower 48 (mainly east coast) and storms will continue to take a costal track due to this. Given the fact the warm spring air from the south wants to creep into the picture could create problems. By problems I mean cold air running into warm southern air producing a big storm. A pattern like this can produce a big endgame event before the full flip to spring is here. We saw set ups like this in the early 80's and 1993 where we had a few big mid to late march snow storms. Regardless if I am a snow lover or not, you cannot deny that this pattern is not over for at least 2 more weeks...lets see how it plays out.

I will update again later in the weekend and be back to doing daily posts on Tuesday when I am back home.

Thanks for checking in.

New post coming tonight at 9pm

I will summarize storm and take a look at the rest of march. A nice snow band set up over nj and NYC today and last night. Took accumulations into the higher end of what I expected (had 3-5). More tonight, sorry for limited posts I am out west traveling.

Traveling Out West Till Monday..Limited Posts in the Meantime

Watch Last Nights Video...My Ideas Are on Track

Everything is playing out as I expected. The video from last night explains everything. I like my updated snowfall map. Lets see now how it plays out...

I can't Beleive the weather channel has such high amounts for north jersey and certain spots, they are way off key this time. Heavy snows will be limited to areas on my map.

Tomorrow night you will see wrap aroind snows effect the northern zones , that is when most of my posted accumulations will occur in that period.

Final Update On Tomorrow's Storm: Over Hyped In Big Cities

Watch video for update on tomorrows storm. The worst areas hit will be the mountains of WV and VA and Boston area. Big cities will not live up to the hype of this storm and I am calling for only a few inches in those spots except for grassy surfaces that can see a bit more.

Here was my original snowfall map..

And here is the updated map...

Not much changed in snowfall ideas for the lower mid Atlantic  Only main change was snow up in Boston due to the storm hooking back in.

Enjoy the storm... brief update coming tomorrow