WINTER OUTLOOK 2023 IS NOW LIVE

The 2023 Winter Outlook

Saturday, February 8, 2025

Saturday Morning: Final Forecast

 Below is my final forecast. Storm moves in just after dusk tonight and is over by tomorrow morning. Snow to heavy sleet for some with all snow to the north. Rain to far south after an initial period of ice. 




Friday, February 7, 2025

Friday Update: Winter Storm Moves in Sat Night

 Below is my initial forecast for Sat night's winter storm. I will have a final forecast out tomorrow morning. Expect a front end burst of snow late tomorrow afternoon/evening with a changeover to sleet south of New England.



We then have more winter weather next week between Tuesday and Thursday I will be discussing. 

Wednesday, February 5, 2025

Wednesday Night Update: Three Winter Events Next 7 Days

Good evening. I cut a video to break down my thoughts on what could be quite the winter period over the next 7 days. Snow to ice moves in tonight, more snow and ice moves in Saturday night (could be heavier than tonight), then we have the potential for a big storm Tuesday into Wednesday. Winter looks to hold on into March this year. Buckle up. 


Tuesday, February 4, 2025

Tuesday Update: Winter Precipitation on Thursday Morning

 Good afternoon. On Thursday morning, will have our first of a series of winter storms that will impact the region as we march through Feb. At this time I like an initial burst of snow to the north before a changeover to liquid. All this occurs early Thursday morning. We then have another mixed winter precipitation event on Sunday followed by another threat middle of next week.


Here is the model I think represents Thursday the best. Initial burst of snow then things change to ice and light rain in southern zones. 





Sunday, February 2, 2025

Sunday Feb 2nd Update: Snow Tonight

 Good afternoon. We will have a light snow event that moves through the region tonight. Expey one to two inches of snowfall by the morning. 


Things will then get mild for a few days before winter returns with a vengeance for the rest of February. I'm expecting multiple opportunities for accumulating snowfall as we head through the month even into early March. This will be accompanied by some impressive cold outbreaks as well. 


The first chance for a larger system will be around super bowl Sunday. Stay tuned. 


In the meantime here is a model snow map for tonight. This makes sense to me. 




Sunday, January 19, 2025

Sunday Snowstorm Update: On Track

 Good morning. Our snowstorm is on track. Snow approaches by mid afternoon and picks up quickly in intensity. Snowfall rates up to 1" per hour. It will be a quick but hard hitter ending by around midnight. Below is my final forecast..




Brutal cold follows for Monday and Tuesday in its wake. Temps in the single digits each morning. Bundle up, deep winter is here!

Saturday, January 18, 2025

Saturday Morning Update: No Changes

 Good morning. No changes to my forecast from yesterday. Tonight, I will release a final update and hone in on any finer details like the immediate costs, but overall I like what  I have..



In terms of storm evolution the model below best represents how I think this evolves. The storm is forming on a arctic front. Some models are too far west in handling this front. The GFS model is doing the best right now...



Start time is early Sunday afternoon into the night. This is over by Monday morning. Quick but hard 8 hour hit.


Stay tuned. 

Friday, January 17, 2025

Preliminary Forecast for Sunday's Snowstorm

 Good morning. Here are my initial thoughts for Sunday's winter storm. Start time looks to be in the afternoon. I will have a play by play this weekend as event approaches. 




Wednesday, January 15, 2025

Wed Night Note: Coldest air of Season Next Week. Shot at Snow

 The video below gives my thoughts on the next 7 days. We have a chance of light snow Monday followed by brutal arctic air. We then need to watch for a storm to develop in the Gulf. Enjoy!



Sunday, January 5, 2025

Major Storm to Hit DC Area...Final Forecast

Hello everyone. I have been spending my of my time forecasting on X lately (@weatherwilly) but I will continue to update the blog if major winter events are approaching. 


Here is my final forecast for the snowstorm that will move into the Delmarva region tonight. 



Snow ends by Monday afternoon. This may be the biggest storm of the year for folks to the south.


We then turn our eyes to a potential large storm next weekend that will potentially hit areas further north. Stay tuned for more details on this as we approach mid week.