Tuesday Update: Seasonable to Above Normal Next 10 Days

Good morning. Fall may have started on Sunday, but it sure didn't feel like it yesterday with temperatures that approached 90 degrees in many areas. 

The heat breaks over the next few days with cooler air now over the region...

Temperatures will be in the 70s today through the early weekend.

Things then look to heat up again as we approach next week with a big western trough and powerful eastern ridge...

This will bring temps back into the upper 80's. Notice the cold air to the west. 

The first snows of the season will fall there...

Pretty crazy difference in weather between the east and west next week.

In the long range the jury is still out on where this pattern goes. I really would like to see this western trough start to break down over the next month. If we continue to see the western trough reappear, then it may be a clue to where this winter pattern is going.

My forecast will be out on October 15th. I still am very uncertain the direction I am going to go this year. It is all going to come down to what evolves over next 4 weeks.