Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Mid Week Weather Update: Clear Through Friday, Coastal Storm Concerns Saturday

Good morning everyone. Skies will start to clear today and we will start a beautiful stretch of weather through Friday. Temperatures will be in the high 60's and low to mid 70's by Friday in most areas. However I am increasingly getting concerned that Saturday will not be so pleasant.

Remember on Monday I mentioned how I was watching the threat for a coastal storm Saturday. Trends have not back off on this and most major model guidance does show at least the chance at rain for Saturday.

The issue right now as always is what will the exact track of this system be. Models at this time are indicating a storm that passes just to our south which can spare the northern areas of any major precipitation. 

The GFS shows this scenario..


However the European and especially Canadian models are showing a more northern trend in this storm. Below is the Canadian for Saturday night..

This would mean a nice consistent rainfall.

So at this time we need to be expecting at least some unsettled weather for Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. The magnitude of how unsettled it actually gets will still be up in the air and depends on the final track of this system. There is a chance some areas just see cloudy skies. I would lean towards most areas seeing at least light rain Saturday with southern zones more consistent rainfall.

I will update on this tomorrow. 

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