Good morning everyone. What a roller coaster ride it was tracking this storm (or lack there of) over the last week. It is no secret I had a tough time with this one as many did. I have never seen models so volatile so close to an event before. Even using non modeling methods like historical analogs did not help me much! Here are some of the latest snowfall reports coming in. This map will be updated later today with final numbers..
I have heard of a few 6 in amounts so far in CT and Mass. Snow is still falling there and when it is all said and done there will be some areas of 6+. You can see the radar is currently cranking over that area.
Nice moderate bands of snow currently extending from Mass up into eastern Maine right now. This snow will accumulate more over the next few hours.
For NJ it was a complete bust, even for the 1-3 inch amounts! Its amazing how when you study this storm the difference between a dusting and a foot was so small when looking at the upper atmosphere Literally if the upper air disturbance diving in from the midwest was a little faster this would have been the big one models were showing on Thursday. At least some areas in ENE lucked out. My maps did ok up there overall.
Moving on to this week, temps will start to warm up by mid week reaching the mid to high 60's. A cold front then approaches by the end of the week bringing the chance for some unsettled weather Friday..
This cold front Friday is associated with a big snowstorm that will be moving through the Midwest middle of this week. The end result will be a chilly weekend with temperatures in the 50's for many areas.
As we head into next week the weather pattern stays more on the chilly side. This should continue into early April. This is all due to a persistent ridge of high pressure developing over Alaska..
This will keep things cool and stormy especially over the central and eastern CONUS. Keep in mind it is late March now so cooler than normal is nothing we all can not handle.
Could we see flakes fly again? Sure we could, but the chances at anything substantial are extremely low. At this point you want to just root spring on and look forward to next winter.
Now spring is no slouch weather wise. We have severe weather to track which should keep things interesting. As we head deeper into the warmer months I will be releasing weekly weather summaries every Monday morning then updating during then week when appropriate. I will also do a review of my winter forecast sometime over next few weeks. It did not do great this year but I always like to still tally up the points.
Thanks for checking in.