Good morning. It's been quite a while since I've posted but now that we have a tropical storm in coming this is timely. I will keep it brief but you can follow my Twitter feed on the right with storm updates later this afternoon through tomorrow morning.
For most folks off the immediate coasts, this is going to be thunderstorms this afternoon followed by heavy rain and Gusty winds tonight ending sometime tomorrow morning. On the immediate coasts, we have tropical storm warnings. This means some damaging winds are possible in spots and coastal flooding. This isn't a major hurricane but it's going to pack a punch.
Here our latest tropical storm wind probabilities from the national hurricane Center...
This basically means winds can be sustained above 40 mph in spots in the center of that cone. I would expect winds will gust higher than this locally in some coastal spots.
Ahead of the main storm there will be a lot of instability in the atmosphere so we'll see thunderstorms develop this afternoon. These storms can pack a punch...
You can see above the storms developing over the Mid-Atlantic by middle afternoon with the main storm to the south over Delmarva.
By tonight the core the storm moves through and lasts into tomorrow morning this is where the heavy rains and Gusty winds move in...
This clears out tomorrow morning for most spots.
When it's all said and done I would expect one to three inches of rain with locally more and some minor damage and localized coastal areas.
That's all for now, more tonight.
