Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Tropical Storm Matthew Likely to Form..Need to Watch Closely

Good morning. Quick update today on the tropics. As I mentioned Monday, we need to keep our eye on a disturbance developing in the Atlantic. All models are indicating this does become a tropical storm (Matthew)  and possibly even a strong hurricane by next week. I am going to start to follow this closely but for today here is what the model spreads show.

Hurricane Models:

GFS Ensembles:

Canadian Ensembles:

You can see there are really 3 possibilities here:
  • Storm moves into the eastern Gulf
  • Storm moves up the East Coast
  • Storm curves out to sea

All are equally possible at this time. I will start to keep an eye on factors that will influence the track and keep everyone updated.

Stay tuned!

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