Good morning. Quick update today on the tropics. As I mentioned Monday, we need to keep our eye on a disturbance developing in the Atlantic. All models are indicating this does become a tropical storm (Matthew) and possibly even a strong hurricane by next week. I am going to start to follow this closely but for today here is what the model spreads show.
Hurricane Models:
GFS Ensembles:
Canadian Ensembles:
You can see there are really 3 possibilities here:
- Storm moves into the eastern Gulf
- Storm moves up the East Coast
- Storm curves out to sea
All are equally possible at this time. I will start to keep an eye on factors that will influence the track and keep everyone updated.
Stay tuned!
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